Can a democracy think long term when politics is focused on the next crisis? Florence Gaub, director of the Research Division at the NATO Defense College, explains how the Alliance works with future scenarios, why biases matter as much as data and what risks she sees in the relationship with Russia. "Wars begin before the first shot," she warns in this conversation with 'Agenda Pública's' director and editor, Marc López Plana.

Economist Diane Coyle, Bennett Professor of Public Policy at the University of Cambridge and a confirmed speaker at La Toja Forum 2026, rejects the most extreme forecasts about employment: "I don't myself think it will be a job apocalypse of the kind that some of the AI leaders have been talking about." In this conversation with 'Agenda Pública', she offers an in-depth analysis of the future of artificial intelligence and argues that the challenge will be how to distribute the productivity gains it generates.

Jorge de Diego, a staff writer at 'Agenda Pública', speaks in Strasbourg with EPP MEP Adrián Vázquez and S&D MEPs Hana Jalloul, Javi López and Jonás Fernández about Ursula von der Leyen's State of the Union address and the future of the European parliamentary term. Representatives of the European Parliament's two largest political groups highlight the importance of the EU's next budget and analyse the Ceuta crisis.

Writer and University of Texas professor Robert Kaplan, one of the confirmed speakers at Foro La Toja 2026, speaks with 'Agenda Pública' about the challenges facing Spain, Europe and the United States in an increasingly unstable international order. From Ceuta to Russia, Iran and China, his analysis is guided by the conviction that "it is all geographically driven".

OpenAI's Head of Strategic Futures and one of the confirmed speakers at the Foro La Toja 2026 speaks with Marc Berruezo, director of beBartlet Intelligence, about the future of work, power, geopolitics and the risks posed by increasingly capable artificial intelligence. Among the scenarios he considers, Ball suggests that "perhaps it becomes a luxury to interact with another human being".

Marc López Plana, Editor and Director of Agenda Pública, travelled to London to speak with Alastair Campbell, former Director of Communications for Tony Blair and political commentator, about the arrival of the new Prime Minister, Andy Burnham, the challenges facing an increasingly unstable United Kingdom, and the public’s growing appetite for serious political content. The co-host of The Rest Is Politics podcast says the aim of the programme is simply "to help people understand that politics is complicated, but also fascinating."

Bruno Maçães, senior adviser at Flint Global and writer, and Pol Morillas, director of the Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB), speak with Agenda Pública journalist Jorge de Diego Hurtado about the transformation of the international landscape. Both take it for granted that change is under way and that the system of Western hegemony will not return, but argue that the shape of this new system, its principles and its advantages are still taking form.

After the publication of the European Commission’s ‘Report on the Rule of Law’, Adrián Vázquez Lázara – European People’s Party MEP and former chair of the Parliament’s Committee on Legal Affairs – considers that Spain has failed "the exam" and stresses that Brussels has used "very strong terms" in assessing matters of corruption and reforms to the CGPJ. As regards two judgments from the EU Court of Justice related to amnesty, he explains in this conversation with 'Agenda Pública' that "the national courts still have the power to apply national law."

Since 2022, Marie-Pierre de Bailliencourt has led the Institut Montaigne, the French think tank "where businesses, experts and public decision-makers work together to identify both problems and practical solutions." With the next French presidential election less than a year away, and at a time when France is redefining its role on the international stage, Agenda Pública's Director and Editor, Marc López Plana, travelled to Paris to speak with De Bailliencourt about these challenges.

"The mere fact of opening an investigation already has significant political effects", says Italian jurist Sabino Cassese. In conversation with the editor and director of Agenda Pública, the former judge of the Italian Constitutional Court insists that "judicial independence remains a fundamental value", but warns that this principle requires drawing a clear distinction between two spheres: "One is the political arena. The other is the judicial arena. And what is dangerous is precisely confusing the two".

The leader of Italy’s opposition has spent more than three years trying to build a left-wing alternative to take on Giorgia Meloni in the 2027 elections. In Rome, she sits down with Marc López Plana, editor and director of 'Agenda Pública', to explain what kind of Italy she wants to build as an alternative to the prime minister’s government and to call for a change of economic and diplomatic course.

Elias Dinas, director of the Swiss Chair in Federalism and International Governance at the European University Institute, speaks with Jorge de Diego, staff writer at 'Agenda Pública', about immigration, the radical right and democratic erosion in Europe. The political scientist warns about the role of traditional elites in normalizing certain frames, argues that "ignoring the issue does not work as a long-term strategy" and analyses the singular place Spain occupies in the European migration debate.

Marine Tondelier, national secretary of Les Écologistes, speaks with Jorge de Diego, staff writer at 'Agenda Pública', about the risk of the French radical right reaching the Élysée, the exhaustion of the New Popular Front and the role of ecologism in a Europe marked by geopolitical, industrial and demographic crises. "The ecologists have been right for a long time", she says, stressing the urgency of implementing their agenda.

Socialist MEP Carla Tavares, the European Parliament’s co-rapporteur for the next multiannual financial framework, talks to Marc López Plana, editor and director of 'Agenda Pública,' about the negotiations that will shape the European budget. Tavares argues that "it is impossible to do more with less" and warns that the EU cannot fund competitiveness, security, and defence at the expense of cohesion, agriculture and the European Social Fund.

The vice-president of the European People’s Party and one of the leading rapporteurs on the Multiannual Financial Framework in the European Parliament opposes the European Commission’s proposal for "weakening the Common Agricultural Policy and Cohesion Policy". In conversation with Agenda Pública’s editor and director in Strasbourg, Mureșan draws attention to alternative mechanisms to increase funding —such as common debt— and to the need to address the challenge posed by digital giants.

Professor Frank Decker, from the University of Bonn, talks to Jorge de Diego, staff writer at 'Agenda Pública', about how Germany is trapped between an unpopular grand coalition, the rise of the AfD and an economy that urgently needs reform. The academic describes this as "a real dilemma", warns that "in Germany, there is no alternative in the party system to this coalition" and calls for a change of perspective in German politics: "We need visions", he says.

Bronwen Maddox, Director and Chief Executive of Chatham House, talks to Marc López Plana, Director and Editor of 'Agenda Pública', about Spain, Trump, China, European defence and the future of the European Union. "It would be unwise to rely on Trump to defend Europe," she says, whilst calling on the continent to step up and "defend its industries."

"The European social model is an asset for our economic model," argues Roxana Mînzatu, executive vice-president of the European Commission, who calls for poverty to be understood beyond income: "Someone may have a salary and still not have enough to live on," she says. In conversation with Jorge de Diego, editor at Agenda Pública, she discusses the EU Anti-Poverty Strategy, housing, child poverty and the role of member states.

Erik Jones, PhD in International Relations and professor at the European University Institute, talks with 'Agenda Pública' staff writer Jorge de Diego in Florence. The academic, who speaks of a "post-Atlantic Europe," is optimistic about Ukraine's EU accession process, but acknowledges that many challenges remain. For example, in the new European budget, where he believes that "we also have to find a way to cushion the blow for all those rural societies that will be affected."

For Teresa Ribera, Executive Vice-President of the European Commission for a Clean, Just and Competitive Transition, the European Union is going through "an existential moment": it must act faster without "reducing environmental and social standards," strengthen the single market, and respond to pressure from the U.S., Russia and China without betraying its values. In this conversation with the director and editor of Agenda Pública, Marc López Plana, the European Commission’s number two warns that the "reduction of dependencies that Germany may need" cannot come "at the expense of breaking up" the single market, and argues that big tech companies "must comply with European rules."

For Peter Rough, senior fellow and director of the Hudson Institute, the bond between the U.S. and Europe "still has a values component", but today "a geopolitical rationale" and an economic logic prevail. In this interview with international affairs analyst Clara Esteban García, the speaker at Foro La Toja - Vínculo Atlántico in Lisbon warns that Europe "falls short" when it comes to decision-making and that competition with China forces both blocs to look beyond the framework of democracies versus autocracies.

Bruno Maçães analyzes Spain’s role in the new global order, Europe’s relationship with China and the United States, the crisis of liberal democracy and the rise of the far right. In conversation with the director and editor of 'Agenda Pública', the Portuguese writer and analyst argues that "our democracies are less democratic than before", points to the challenges posed by China and the far right, and presents Spain as one of the few European countries to have understood that the world has changed.

In their conversation during CIDOB’s international conference War and Peace in the 21st Century, Daniel Fiott and Max Bergmann, experts on defence and security, understand the present as a critical moment for the stability of the continent. Fiott, from the Brussels School of Governance, speaks of a "structural shift underway" in the transatlantic relationship. Bergmann, from the Center for Strategic and International Studies, regrets that, at this moment, there is no "real foreign-policy mechanism" capable of unifying the continent’s voices to address this challenge.

During the latest edition of the international conference War and Peace in the 21st Century, organised by CIDOB, the think tank’s senior researcher and former Member of the European Parliament, Domènec Ruiz Devesa, spoke with the director of the Paris office of the German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF), Tara Varma, and the director of the International Centre for Defence and Security (ICDS), Kristi Raik. The two engaged in a discussion on European defence and, in particular, on the role of the US in this context.

In Barcelona, Camille Grand, who served as one of NATO’s top officials for defence investment, speaks with Marc López Plana, director and editor of 'Agenda Pública'. During CIDOB’s international conference War and Peace in the 21st century, Grand, who is secretary general of the European trade association for the aerospace, security and defence industries (ASD), highlights the turbulent moment the sector is going through, but qualifies part of the political narrative: "Nobody wants NATO to go away, or the alliance with the United States to disappear," he says.

Faced with the threat of a US retreat on security, EDA director and general André Denk acknowledges Europe’s strategic dependence. In the face of such a scenario, he hopes that "it will not be necessary to plan without the Americans" but argues that "we have to be prepared as Europeans" if the time comes. In his conversation with Agenda Pública director and editor Marc López Plana, he also stresses that there is greater unity among member states, as "interest in joint action, in cooperating in an EU environment, has significantly risen."

Global instability demands a military machine capable of responding at any latitude. In this conversation with Marc López Plana, director and editor of 'Agenda Pública', diplomat Javier Colomina defends NATO’s ‘360-degree’ vision. Colomina, Spain’s highest-positioned officer in the Alliance, maintains that NATO "doesn’t have the option of choosing between threats" and is committed to Europe taking fuller control of its own defense, toward the goal of achieving the "real capacity to produce what is needed."

The fracture in the relationship between the U.S. and Europe is having effects that go beyond the West. In this conversation between ECFR editorial director Jeremy Cliffe and German-Brazilian political scientist Oliver Stuenkel, they discuss the meaning of this space because "it is a concept that is not clearly defined even in Europe". They offer a review of geopolitical balances, Europe’s relationship with the Global South, and the future of European institutions in light of the positions adopted at the Munich Security Conference.

Is the EU project doomed to geopolitical irrelevance? Josep Borrell, president of CIDOB and former High Representative of the EU, explains to Marc López Plana, editor and director of 'Agenda Pública', that "the European Union wasn’t conceived for today’s world." In the face of international challenges – from the wars in Iran and Ukraine to the Trump administration – Borrell argues that the continent’s political survival will require a profound reset and an abandonment of institutional paralysis.

The CIA discovered many years ago that a diverse crowd could match the accuracy of its best analysts with far fewer resources. Today, prediction markets are used to answer questions about the economics of war or the impact of missiles in Ukraine. Can a betting platform predict the next major electoral upset better than the experts? We explore it with Emile Servan-Schreiber, founder of Hypermind, Europe’s leading collective-intelligence tool, in an in-depth conversation in 'Agenda Pública'.